Friday, November 18, 2011

Week 12 Preview

Florida, Alabama, South Carolina, and Auburn all face FCS schools and they will all win easily.

Kentucky at Georgia - Has there ever been an easier game to clinch a division? And at home no less? This is a microcosm of how easy UGA's schedule has been. If they wouldn't have allowed two defensive scores and a fake punt touchdown to South Carolina they would've won that game. Then if they wouldn't have scheduled Boise State they'd be 10-0 and ranked #3 right now. The Dawgs are a 30.5 point favorite. I would be surprised if they don't cover.

Mississippi State at Arkansas - Finally my Bulldogs make the game of the week. Both teams matchup very well against one another. I think we're in for a game like last years double overtime thriller instead of the 13 point spread Vegas has. As long as State can keep Joe Adams from getting too many yards on special teams this game comes down to late in the 4th quarter. I'm picking MSU 31-30.

LSU at Ole Miss - The Rebels are suspending players, they've fired the coach, the mascot is putting a box over his head. It's getting ugly. Now they face the best team in the nation...30 point spread. It's up to LSU to determine how much they want to beat them. If LSU is really Ole Miss' rival like the Rebs say, it will be 40+.

Vanderbilt at Tennessee - I am very surprised Vandy is favored (-1.5) in this game. But to my surprise they were also favored in Fulmer's last year, 2008. The 'Dores did beat the Vols in Knoxville '05 when Jay Cutler was the QB. The time before that was 1982, however, there have been plenty of very close games including several when UT was in the Top 5 in the 1990s. My instinct says to pick Tennessee because they have a spell over Vandy they can't ever beat them no matter the circumstances. But the Vandy team is really good behind Zac Stacy's great running and Jordan Rodgers great quarterback play. I don't think UT can score enough points. VU 28 UT 21


JB

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