The Polls

I've never been a huge fan of college football polls. I hardly ever look at them during the season. One reason is because, since I think I have a pretty good idea how good teams in the SEC are, I may see LSU and Mississippi State as evenly matched, but the polls see them as LSU #4 and Mississippi State #20.

I see the point of the polls, they want to try to get a good indication of where the teams are so they can promote the game. I've always thought the polls should start out in the same order they ended the previous year. I realize that there is a lot of attrition in college football so the teams will not be the same, but if you made it to #4 last year, someone should have to knock you off before you have to go down to #20 like everyone thinks you will be.

So, this year I'll do my own poll. I'll start the year the way the previous year ended and adjust from there. If you play real bad then you may move down a spot, but to move down significantly you'd have to lose. I'll post it every week and compare it to the current AP Top 25. But going into the season, here's what the Top 25 would look like and the Week 1 AP poll ranking is in parenthesis:

From 2010

1. Auburn............(23)
2. TCU...............(14)
3. Oregon............(3)
4. Stanford..........(7)
5. Ohio State........(18)
6. Oklahoma..........(1)
7. Wisconsin.........(11)
8. LSU...............(4)
9. Boise State.......(5)
10. Alabama..........(3)
11. Nevada...........(NR)
12. Arkansas.........(15)
13. Oklahoma State...(9)
14. Michigan State...(17)
15. Mississippi St...(20)
16. Virginia Tech....(13)
17. Florida State....(6)
18. Missouri.........(21)
19. Texas A&M........(7)
20. Nebraska.........(8)
21. UCF..............(NR)
22. South Carolina...(12)
23. Maryland.........(NR)
24. Tulsa............(NR)
25. N.C. State.......(NR)

Teams that were not ranked at the end of last year, but are ranking in the preseason poll this year are: Notre Dame (16), Georgia (19), Florida (22), West Virginia (24), and Southern Cal (25).


JB

Sweet Potato Fries

Here a good snack for the start of football season, sweet potato fries.

Preheat the oven to 450. Take a sweet potato and peel it. Then slice it into either fries or chips. Put them into a bowl and lightly coat them with olive oil. Then put Tony's, salt, pepper, and red pepper on them....make them have plenty of black, white, and red specs.

Put them on a cookie sheet and pop them in the oven for 20 minutes. You might want to flip them after 10 minutes so they cook evenly.


JB

My Top 25

Here is my national Top 25 in college football. This isn't a preseason Top 25, this is where I think each team will be after the regular season, but before the bowl games.


1. South Carolina, 12-1 (SEC Champ)
2. Florida State, 12-1 (ACC Champ)
3. Oklahoma, 11-1 (Big 12 Champ)
4. Boise State, 12-0 (Mtn West Champ)
5. Wisconsin, 11-1 (Big 10 Champ)
6. Virginia Tech, 11-2
7. Oregon, 10-2 (PAC 12 Champ)
8. Mississippi State, 10-3
9. Alabama, 10-2
10. Oklahoma State, 10-2
11. LSU, 9-3
12. Stanford, 9-3
13. Arkansas, 9-3
14. Texas A&M, 9-3
15. Nebraska, 9-3
16. Texas, 9-3
17. Missouri, 9-3
18. Southern Cal, 9-3
19. Southern Miss, 11-2 (CUSA Champ)
20. Penn State, 9-3
21. TCU, 10-2
22. West Virginia, 9-3 (Big East Champ)
23. Clemson, 9-3
24. BYU, 9-3
25. Florida, 8-4

Close....Michigan State, 8-4; Ohio State, 8-4; Arizona State, 8-4; Notre Dame, 8-4


BCS Title: South Carolina over Florida State


Note: I had Arkansas as my national champ before Knile Davis got hurt. But...I was so impressed by South Carolina I was about to pick them to win the SEC except for one thing...they are South Carolina. But I've gone out on a limb and picked them this year. And wouldn't it be something if Spurrier made it back and look who's waiting for him..



JB

Needtobreathe

My Top 10 Needtobreathe songs:

10. "Girl Named Tennessee", 2009

9. "More Time", 2007

8. "Streets of Gold", 2007











7. "Haley", 2006







6. "Through Smoke", 2009

5. "Lay 'Em Down", 2009

4. "Hurricane", 2009

3. "Washed By the Water", 2007

2. "Signature of Divine (Yahweh)", 2007

1. "We Could Run Away", 2007


JB

Kentucky Wildcats

5-7 (1-7)

Week 1: September 1st vs. Western Kentucky - This game will be played in Nashville, TN at the Titans' stadium. WKU was 2-10 last year including taking a 35 drubbing from Kentucky in week 2. They've got 15 returning starters but I don't think it matters even with UK in offensive rebuilding mode. The Cats win.

Week 2: September 10th vs. Central Michigan - CMU went to four straight bowl games and then fell off the map last year going 3-9. They have 14 returning starters this year, and this could be a difficult game for Joker Philips if they are not ready to play. But one thing you can always say about Kentucky is that they always win these non-conference games. So Cats go to 2-0.

Week 3: September 17th vs. Louisville - The Cardinals are starting to regain momentum under Charlie Strong after a few down years which Kentucky took advantage of and won 4 in a row. Louisville has 10 returning starters from a 7-6 team. The good news for UK is that this game is in Lexington and the Cards only have 3 returning starters on offense. With Kentucky's experience on defense I think they matchup well in this game. Louisville lost almost 40% of their lettermen from last year and they only have 12 seniors on this team, that will be difficult to compensate for this early in the season. Kentucky gets another 3-0 start.

Week 4: September 24th at Kentucky - UK has not won this game since 1986. That is 24 straight and I don't see any reason why I would call for that streak to end here. Gators win.

Week 5: October 1st at LSU - In the last meeting between these two teams, UK won in Lexington when LSU was #1...but the Tigers survived and eventually won the national title that year. It's very possible LSU could be #1 heading into this game again, but I don't think we'll get the same result in Red Stick. LSU wins big.

Week 6: October 8th at South Carolina - Kentucky will struggle in this game, it's in Columbia and USC's D is going to be too much for an inexperienced offense to handle on the road. This will be the third very difficult matchup for UK and they will most likely be running ragged...not a good recipe for success against a good team.

Week 7: Bye - It's always good to have your bye week smack-dab in the middle of the season. And for UK, it will give them an opportunity to regroup after what is almost certainly going to be 3 straight loses.

Week 8: October 22nd vs. Jacksonville State - JSU has become the place for ex-SEC players to go when they get kicked off their team so no one should take them too lightly.... a la Ole Miss last year. Coming off a bye UK should be fresh and should win this one easily.

Week 9: October 29th vs. Mississippi State - MSU has won the last two games in Lexington in this series. If Joker Philips is able to muster a respectable offense by this point in the season it could mean trouble for the Bulldogs. UK will also be coming off a bye week and Jacksonville State...so essentially 3 weeks to prepare for this game, however, MSU is coming off a bye as well. I don't see any reason why both of these teams would have any trouble getting up for this game, so I think going on talent is a safe bet. As they have done in the past against Kentucky, I expect MSU to run, run, run, and run some more until the Cats D is worn down. And the Dawgs will pick up a vital road win.

Week 10: November 5th vs. Ole Miss - The Wilcats are hosting both schools from Mississippi in back-to-back weeks. Kentucky does not have much offensive explosiveness coming back from 2010 but Joker Philips has proven to be a good offensive coach, and he will probably be able to find some plays against a poor Ole Miss D. I think Kentucky's defense will have enough strength to hold off Ole Miss and they will win the game at home.

Week 11: November 12th at Vanderbilt - UK always plays an easy September schedule and then relies on this game to make them bowl-eligible, we'll see if they have 5 wins at this point or not. Vanderbilt matches up well against the Cats as I have UK's D-line rated the least in the SEC. If Vandy's running game can get established it could be a long day for Kentucky. This is Week 11, so Joker Philips should have been able to mold this offense a little bit, but I'm not sure they will keep up with the 'Dores in Nashville. Kentucky goes down on the road.

Week 12: November 19th at Georgia - I think this will be a pretty good game. Georgia should match up pretty well and Aaron Murrey should be able to throw for some yardage here. I'll pick Georgia at home.

Week 13: November 26th vs. Tennessee - If you thought losing 24 straight to Florida was bad, the Wildcats have managed to lose to UT 26 straight times. So, since this is a loss every year I have to say it's a loss this year.


JB

Vanderbilt Commodores

5-7 (1-7)

Week 1: Sept. 3rd vs. Elon - Elon is in North Carolina, I had to look that up. They were a .500 team in 1-AA last year so I don't see any problem for Vandy in James Franklin's first game.

Week 2: Sept. 10th vs. Connecticut - I listed this as 14th best non-conference game this year, hopefully Vandy won't disappoint. UConn won the sorry big east last year with an 8-4 record even though they lost to Michigan, Temple, and Louisville 26-0. But there are 16 returning starters from that team including 9 on defense, which matches up well against Vanderbilt's experience on offense with all 11 returning. Vandy's strength will be the running game and UConn has all 4 starters back on the D-line and 3 of them are seniors, so I'll give UConn the edge when the 'Dores have the ball. But UConn lost their 1,758 yard rusher, Jordan Todman, and the QB from last year, they will most likely be relying on a true freshman at QB in this game. If Chris Marve and Casey Hayward can live up to expectations this could be a huge win for Vandy. Being at home, I'm going with Vanderbilt to win a low-scoring game.

Week 3: Sept. 17th vs. Ole Miss - Three straight home games for Vanderbilt to start the season is a huge plus. In '05 Vandy started the season 4-0 and in '08 they started 5-0, those two seasons were the best of the last decade...so getting off to a nice start is key. Both of those years they beat Ole Miss, and this year they have a good shot to do the game again. There won't be a lot of high flying in this game, as both offenses strength is the running game, behind veteran offensive lines. I don't expect much this season out of either defense, especially Ole Miss'...this game will be determined by which team's D-line can reek havoc on the other's backfield. With Kendrell Lockett, I give the advantage to Ole Miss as the rest of the D-line for both teams is near the bottom of the league. It should be a good game, and as much as I want Vandy to win, I'm picking Ole Miss.

Week 4: Sept. 24th at South Carolina - The 'Dores first road test will be a tough one, going to Columbia, SC. The Cocks will be coming off a home gave vs. Navy, which could be interesting but not the grueling SEC fight Vandy might need to pull off an upset. South Carolina has more talent then Vanderbilt in every single unit, and being at home, I've got to go with The Gamecocks.

Week 5: Bye - This comes at the right time because they will need to rest after playing USC and they will need to develop some tricks to put up their sleeves going to Tuscaloosa.

Week 6: October 8th at Alabama - If Vanderbilt could win this one it would be a monumental upset. But I don't think it's going to happen...not even close. If Vandy can cover the spread that would be a victory for their program.

Week 7: October 15th vs. Georgia - After a couple of really tough road games, this is a game Vandy has a chance to win. As always, Georgia will be coming in with bigger and better athletes, but how will they be mentally? I think this is a pretty fair matchup, I've got Georgia rated only slightly higher than Vandy in most of the units, with the exception being QB where UGA has a distinct advantage. In the end, it's hard to pick against Georgia, they should win the game, so I predict they will....sending Vandy to 2-4.

Week 8: October 22nd vs. Army - Army went to a bowl game for the first time in 14 years last year, beating SMU in the Armed Forces Bowl. They return their QB, top two rushers and top 3 receivers from that team...but so does Vandy. This will be a tough game, but one that the 'Dores must win if they want to have any chance at a bowl game. I think they get it done at home.

Week 9: October 29th vs. Arkansas - This will be another tough matchup for Vandy, where the other team just has superior athletes at almost every position. Still, with the game in Nashville you never know what could happen. Arkansas' offense should be clicking on all cylinders by this point in the year and I don't think Vandy's D will be able to stop them. Hogs win.

Week 10: November 5th at Florida - Yet another tough SEC game. Vanderbilt's stregth's should be negated by the Gators' stout D-line, and if John Brantley's figured things out by this point it could mean trouble as Florida's athletes run all over the swamp on Vandy's D. Florida takes this one.

Week 11: November 12th vs. Kentucky - By my count this is the 6th winnable home game for Vanderbilt. If they can win them all then this could be a huge game for bowl eligibility. Vanderbilt matches up well against the Cats as I have UK's D-line rated the least in the SEC. If Vandy's running game can get established it could be a long day for Kentucky. This is Week 11, so Joker Philips should have been able to mold this offense a little bit, but I'm not sure they will keep up with the 'Dores in Nashville. Vandy gets SEC win #1.

Week 12: November 19th vs. Tennessee - This is a rivalry in the sense that Vanderbilt really wants to beat Tennessee. And the last couple of years UT has needed to beat Vandy in order to go to a bowl game, and that adds a little salt. I think this is a good matchup with both lines matching up pretty equally. I think UT's D-line has really good potential and could be excelling by this time of year and this game is at home. There are other areas like WR were the Vols are young and should be improved by late November, in time for this game. It could be really close, but I'm taking Tennessee.

Week 13: November 26th at Wake Forest - The visitor is 7-2 in this series since 1990. That is a good sign especially if Vandy can get to this game with 5 wins, and a chance to make a bowl game. The bad news is Wake Forest has 17 returning starters, but it was a 3-9 team. Still, the 'Dores have 19 returning starters and if they can survive the SEC schedule without too many injuries they should be in a position to win this game. Vanderbilt is due for a win in this series, I am going with them.


JB

Tennessee Volenteers

7-5 (3-5)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. Montana - Montana is usually contending for a Division 1-AA Championship, but I think they have been down the last couple years. This will be a very tough challenge for them going across the country to play in front of 100,000. But App. St. did the same thing to Michigan a few years ago so UT better be ready to play.

Week 2: September 10th vs. Cincinnati - Tennessee has played Cincy 5 times in its history losing once, in 1904. The Bearcats have 10 returning starters on defense, but that defense wasn't very good. As long as the Vols aren't looking ahead to the game next week at Florida then they should be able to take care of Cincinnati.

Week 3: September 17th at Florida - Even though Florida has dominated this series from the Spurrier era on, this game is close almost every year...even if you never feel the Gators are in too much trouble. I think we are in store for more of the same here. Neither team has to deal with too difficult of competition leading up to the game, and they should be revved up for SEC play. But the game is in the swamp and Tennessee is still inexperienced. They may perform well for 3 quarters but I think Florida will pull away at the end.

Week 4: Bye - This is the earliest bye in the SEC, and UT might be wishing later in the season they had that bye when they are going through the meat of the SEC.

Week 5: October 1st vs. Buffalo - Turner Gill somehow turned Buffalo into a bowl team and MAC champ in 2008 but that magic is gone. They went 2-10 last year and they certainly shouldn't compete with an SEC team on the road this year. UT wins.

Week 6: October 8th vs. Georgia - I think this will be a very good game. Derek Dooley has not had a signature win at UT and this has a chance to be it. I think the cards stack will for Tennessee going into this game as they have an off week, Buffalo, then this game at home. UGA will be coming off must win games at Ole Miss and vs. MSU. Tennessee needs a big win vs. Georgia and I think they get it done here.

Week 7: October 15th vs. LSU - Everybody remembers the finish to this game last year, and hopefully this game can be that good again. I was very surprised Tennessee was able to keep up with LSU in 2010, especially on the road. But with the game in Knoxville, I'm not so sure this won't be another close game. The last time these two teams met in Knoxville, 2006, it was a classic. In fact, the last 3 regular season meeting between these two have been classics...and the 2007 SEC Championship game was a good game. So why not expect anything different here? I give LSU the edge at the lines, but UT's got enough play makers to keep it close. Still, LSU wins the game.

Week 8: October 22nd at Alabama - This is one of those classic SEC rivalries. Two years ago Mount Cody had to block two field goal attempts to preserve Bama's perfect season and eventual national championship. UT comes into this game in the middle of one of the most difficult stretches of SEC games, so a game like this is not what the doctor ordered. You never know what could happen in a rivalry, but I don't see Tennessee being able to pass the ball much with their young receivers, and I think Bama will be able to move the ball pretty well against an average Tennessee D. Tide wins.

Week 9: October 29th vs. South Carolina - South Carolina has lost 14 of the 15 games they have played in Knoxville, but the tides have turned. I think this has the chance to be a good game, but that could be contingent upon UT coming out of the UGA, LSU, and Bama games in back-to-back-to-back weekends without too many injuries. But that is a tough stretch to go through and then have to face Marcus Lattimore running right at you on fresh legs. Carolina wins.

Week 10: November 5th at Tennessee - MTSU has made it to two straight bowl games and they have fared pretty well in the Sun Belt recently. I think this is a good game for Tennessee to play each year. The Vols will be coming off one of the most brutal stretches in the country in which they will be very fortunate to come away with their health. They will need this game to ensure a bowl, and I think they will get it fairly easily.

Week 11: November 12th at Arkansas - The Vols always have an easy path in November, but not this year with this game right in the middle of it. Tennessee is young, but by this point in the year they should have the experience needed to win a game like this. But Arkansas has too many weapons and I'm not so sure UT's O-line will be able to hold off the Hog's D-line from pressuring Bray. On the road against a really tough opponent, the Vols go down.

Week 12: November 19th at Vanderbilt - This is a rivalry in the sense that Vanderbilt really wants to beat Tennessee. And the last couple of years UT has needed to beat Vandy in order to go to a bowl game, and that adds a little salt. I think this is a good matchup with both lines matching up pretty equally. I think UT's D-line has really good potential and could be excelling by this time of year and this game is at home. There are other areas like WR were the Vols are young and should be improved by late November, in time for this game. It could be really close, but I'm taking Tennessee.

Week 13: November 26th at Kentucky - Last year I got burned by calling for this streak Tennessee has over UK to end, that won't happen again. Vols win.


JB

Georgia Bulldogs

7-5 (5-3)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. Boise State - This game is just tough to call. I don't know where to go. The game will be played in the Georgia Dome, which is obviously Georgia's backyard and this is very similar to what Boise did last year when they beat Virginia Tech. I think Georgia is over-rated this year, but they will have plenty of motivation heading into this game vs. a Top 10 team. Boise State has 14 returning starters and one of the best defensive lines in the country...if UGA can't makes strides in their offensive line they will have major trouble getting Crowell going in this game. I don't like Georgia, but I do like Mark Richt...I don't want him to lose his job so I want him to win this game as bad as I hate Georgia. But I'm picking Boise State...they've been there before and I think they do it again with pressure on the QB and stuffing the run.

Week 2: September 10th vs. South Carolina - A lot of people are comparing Isiah Crowell to Marcus Lattimore, at least hoping his has the same impact, but I don't know if he can be that good. Lattimore made a name for himself in this game last year, and he was able to do so by running the ball all game long, I'm not sure Crowell can handle that kind of load, and with Ealey and King gone he will need to for UGA to be successful in this game. Even though this game is in Athens, South Carolina's defense will be ready to play, and the D-line should swarm the Dawgs young backfield. If the Georgia O-line can hold them off for Murrey to make some throws then the game could come down to the wire as it usually does. But I see Carolina winning by a couple touchdowns.

Week 3: September 17th vs. Coastal Carolina - If my predictions are accurate, UGA is 0-2 and all their fans are jumping out of Atlanta high-rises. But their schedule is so light the season is not over and hopefully they won't have fired Mark Richt during game week. They win this one going away.

Week 4: September 24th at Ole Miss - This is a big time game for both of these coaches. There is a chance Ole Miss is 3-0 and maybe even Georgia is 3-0 or 2-1 and the pressure is off both of them but I have a feeling they will both be uncomfortable as far as job security coming into the game. I think UGA will win the battle up front with their O-line being able to perform well against Ole Miss' D-line, and the Dawgs defensive line should be good enough to keep Ole Miss' and their O-line and backfield from running all over the place. Ole Miss QB situation will be interesting, UGA does have some talented DBs who could force some turnovers if the Rebs have to start throwing a lot. I think this will be a close game but Georgia pulls it out.

Week 5: October 1st vs. Mississippi State - This game looks to be very evenly matched. Even though I have MSU's QB unit listed 2nd, behind UGA, that has a lot to do with a competent backup...so I think Aaron Murrey's talent is a solid advantage for Georgia, especially at home. MSU has a more proven backfield, but if Crowell lives up to expectations there is not much of an advantage either way as I rate both team's O-line, D-line and linebackers very closely. It's hard to see any mismatches for either team here and that should make for a very good game. This game being in Athens is a big deal for Georgia, and their emotional state will play a big role. If they start 0-2, will they bounce back and make a run behind Richt, or fold? If they start 1-1 or 2-0 where will their heads be in this one, a week before playing Tennessee? Will all else even, I'm going with the home team, UGA, to avenge their loss in Starkville last year.

Week 6: October 8th at Tennessee - I think this will be a very good game. Derek Dooley has not had a signature win at UT and this has a chance to be it. I think the cards stack will for Tennessee going into this game as they have an off week, Buffalo, then this game at home. UGA will be coming off must win games at Ole Miss and vs. MSU. Tennessee needs a big win vs. Georgia and I think they get it done here.

Week 7: October 15th at Vanderbilt - This is the 3rd SEC road game in four weeks, but I think that could be an advantage for Georgia having been in the routine of traveling. As always, Georgia will be coming in with bigger and better athletes, but how will they be mentally? I think this is a pretty fair matchup, I've got Georgia rated only slightly higher than Vandy in most of the units, with the exception being QB where UGA has a distinct advantage. In the end, it's hard to pick against Georgia, they should win the game, so I predict they will.

Week 8: Bye - This is a good week for a bye going into the cocktail party. They have a manageable schedule down the stretch and should still be in contention for the East.

Week 9: October 29th vs. Florida - Let's face it, Georgia has a mental block against Florida. I can't pick UGA to win this game.

Week 10: November 5th vs. New Mexico State - NM St. has 16 starters back, but they are awful. UGA should win this easy and have plenty of time to prepare for Auburn.

Week 11: November 12th vs. Auburn - It's hard to gauge where a team who has so much youth going into the season will be at this point of the season, and that is a factor for both of these teams. But as I see it right now, Georgia has Aaron Murrey and some play makers on offense that should be able to move the ball against a less than stellar Auburn defense. The game is in Athens, and I'm picking UGA.

Week 12: November 19th vs. Kentucky - I think this will be a pretty good game. Georgia should match up pretty well and Aaron Murrey should be able to throw for some yardage here. I'll pick Georgia at home.

Week 13: November 26th at Georgia Tech - This will be UGA's first game in an opponent's home stadium since Week 7. But, Tech's fan base is sketchy so the stadium will probably be 40% UGA. Georgia Tech has 12 starters back and they just got put on probation. They really want to win this game, and the outcome of it could seal Mark Richt's fate. The previous four weeks GT has an open date, VA Tech on a Thursday night, Duke, and then Georgia. So I think they will be healthy and prepared for this one, and they squeeze out a victory.


JB

Florida Gators

8-4 (5-3)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. Florida Atlantic - FAU has 12 starters back from a 4-8 team in the Sun-Belt. This will be a nice first win for Will Muschamp.

Week 2: September 10th vs. UAB - UAB is better than Florida Atlantic but this is still another game for the Gators to get their legs under them. Florida has too much talent to lose and they should be clicking on all cylinders by the end of the game, ready for SEC play.

Week 3: September 17th vs. Tennessee - Even though Florida has dominated this series from the Spurrier era on, this game is close almost every year...even if you never feel the Gators are in too much trouble. I think we are in store for more of the same here. Neither team has to deal with too difficult of competition leading up to the game, and they should be revved up for SEC play. But the game is in the swamp and Tennessee is still inexperienced. They may perform well for 3 quarters but I think Florida will pull away at the end.

Week 4: September 24th at Kentucky - UK has not won this game since 1986. That is 24 straight and I don't see any reason why I would call for that streak to end here. Gators win.

Week 5: October 1st vs. Alabama - If Bama would not have played at Penn State I might think their QB situation would be shaking going into the swamp, but since they will have played in front of 100,000+ a month prior I don't think it will effect them as much. The bottom line in this game is can Florida's offense do anything against Bama's D? I think Florida could win this game if they get good defensive intensity and force some turnovers, but they will have to play a solid game on offense just to score enough to beat Bama. Going into the season I just don't know what Florida's offense will be capable of against a defense like this, even at home. I'm going with Alabama.

Week 6: October 8th at LSU - I think this is a very even matchup between two teams full of talent. For a few years this was the primo matchup of the year, but it faded a little bit two years ago because of LSU and last year because of Florida. On paper, I don't think there's enough discernable difference between these two teams to pick a winner. But the game's in Baton Rouge, probably at night, and Florida is in a stretch of 5 consecutive SEC games and coming off Alabama the week before. So I'm picking LSU.

Week 7: October 15th at Auburn - This is in the middle of a brutal stretch for both teams. This is the only home game during a stretch which I think is the most brutal in the SEC for Auburn and Florida is coming off games vs. Alabama and at LSU. So both teams could have major injury and fatigue concerns heading into this game and into the 4th quarter. If Charlie Weis is able to mold Florida's offense into what it's capable of then I think Auburn's D will have a hard time catching up. Florida's D is young and athletic and could cause major problems for Auburn's inexperienced QB situation. I think this game will be close, and Auburn/Florida games are always great games which Auburn usually wins. But I'm calling for the Gators to go into Jordan-Hare and steal one.

Week 8: Bye - This will be a welcomed break and a chance to regroup during a rough stretch of games.

Week 9: October 29th vs. Georgia - Florida owns Georgia. They win again.

Week 10: November 5th vs. Vanderbilt - This is a nice sandwich game between two important SEC East matchups in UGA and USC. Vanderbilt's stregth's should be negated by the Gators' stout D-line, and if John Brantley's figured things out by this point it could mean trouble as Florida's athletes run all over the swamp on Vandy's D. Florida takes this one.

Week 11: November 12th at South Carolina - The SEC East title came down to this game in 2010 and I have a feeling the same thing will happen in 2011. Last year's game wasn't even close with USC blowing UF out in the swamp 36-14. This time, not only is the East on the line, but South Carolina could and should have national championship hopes on the line. This should be a defensive game, with both D-lines having the upper hand on the opposing O-line. The difference could be special teams where Florida might have an edge with it's skilled athletes. But South Carolina has the experience and they are at home. I think an inspired Carolina team plays up to par and wins this game.

Week 12: November 19th vs. Furman - Florida was the team who started the fad of scheduling a very weak opponent the week before the rivalry game. It is probably a good strategy and this one should solidify the 8th win for Florida, and a successful first year for Muschamp.

Week 13: November 26th vs. Florida State - I think both of these teams will be very good this year, and that is good for college football. They may not be 1990s good but this game will have a little more punch this year. After winning 6 straight and crushing the Noles in 3 straight, the Gators got crushed last year. Florida State returns 16 starters, and while they lose the 12th pick in the draft, Christian Ponder, they are very high on E.J. Manuel and by this point of the season he should certainly be ready. This game is in the swamp, but I think the Seminoles have a little bit better team this year, so I'll go with them.


JB

South Carolina Gamecocks

11-1 (7-1)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. East Carolina - This game will be played in Charlotte and could be a pretty interesting matchup between two schools from bordering states. In 2008 East Carolina was able to knock of VA Tech and West Virginia in the first two weeks so USC will definitely need to go into the game knowing they could have a dogfight on their hands. But there is no doubt South Carolina has more talent as they will contend for the SEC Championship this year, and they should win this game fairly handily. Hopefully for their sake, they can come away healthy for a big week 2 game at Georgia.

Week 2: September 10th at Georgia - A lot of people are comparing Isiah Crowell to Marcus Lattimore, at least hoping his has the same impact, but I don't know if he can be that good. Lattimore made a name for himself in this game last year, and he was able to do so by running the ball all game long, I'm not sure Crowell can handle that kind of load, and with Ealey and King gone he will need to for UGA to be successful in this game. Even though this game is in Athens, South Carolina's defense will be ready to play, and the D-line should swarm the Dawgs young backfield. If the Georgia O-line can hold them off for Murrey to make some throws then the game could come down to the wire as it usually does. But I see Carolina winning by a couple touchdowns.

Week 3: September 17th vs. Navy - Navy has 10 returning starters with 7 on offense. This could definitely be a tough game for South Carolina especially if they have a hangover from the Georgia game. But with USC's D-line and speed on defense I think they will be able to neutralize Navy's option attack to a certain extent and win the game at home.

Week 4: Sept. 24th vs. Vanderbilt - South Carolina always struggles to win the games they are supposed to when they are riding high, we'll see what happens here. The Cocks will be coming off a home gave vs. Navy, which could be interesting but not the grueling SEC fight Vandy might need to pull off an upset. South Carolina has more talent then Vanderbilt in every single unit, and being at home, I've got to go with The Gamecocks.

Week 5: October 1st vs. Auburn - The Gamecocks should be riding high and welcome the defending national champions into town. Auburn will struggle to cover Alshon Jeffrey and I'm not sure they have the front 7 to contend with Marcus Lattimore and put pressure on Stephen Garcia. I think South Carolina matches up really well against Auburn and they will win this game.

Week 6: October 8th vs. Kentucky - The schedule-makers must have graduated from South Carolina because they gave them probably the most manageable 1st half of any team in the SEC. Kentucky will struggle in this game, it's in Columbia and USC's D is going to be too much for an inexperienced offense to handle on the road. This will be the third very difficult matchup for UK and they will most likely be running ragged...not a good recipe for success against a good team.

Week 7: October 15th at Mississippi State - By the time South Carolina reached the mid-way point of the season, there is a very real chance they could be in the Top 5, maybe even the top 3 in the country. By my calculations, this will be their toughest test so far and it's on the road. Both of these teams have an off week the next week so there will be no holding back. Carolina has a bunch of star players like Lattimore, Jeffrey, Clowney, and Gilmore, who if all healthy should be able to beat teams like MSU on shear talent. But this is why they play the games, and with MSU's deep WR core I think they have the opportunity to expose a less than stellar USC secondary. If MSU's O-line can contain USC's powerful D-line I think Chris Relf will be able to move the ball through the air and keep up with the Gamecock's offense. This is South Carolina's 4th SEC game in a row, whereas State will have only played 1 SEC game in the previous 3 weeks. With the game in Starkville, I think State is able to pull off the upset behind the arm of Chris Relf or Tyler Russell.

Week 8: Bye - The Gamecocks week off here really separates the first seven games which they have a pretty good chance of navigating unscathed, and then the stretch run which will feature some pretty tough games.

Week 9: October 29th at Tennessee - South Carolina has lost 14 of the 15 games they have played in Knoxville, but the tides have turned. I think this has the chance to be a good game, but that could be contingent upon UT coming out of the UGA, LSU, and Bama games in back-to-back-to-back weekends without too many injuries. But that is a tough stretch to go through and then have to face Marcus Lattimore running right at you on fresh legs. Carolina wins.

Week 10: November 5th at Arkansas - South Carolina makes one of the longest journeys within the SEC to Fayetteville, AR for what should be a very good game. By this point in the season I expect Tyler Wilson to be a solid quarterback, and Stephen Garcia as well. Both star running backs are young and very talented. Even though Arkansas' got the edge at WR, I rank USC #2, and both teams have some question marks at O-line. I think Arkansas' got a pretty good defense and South Carolina will score on them but not a lot. The difference here is South Carolina's very talented defensive line vs. Arkansas' offensive line. Clowney should be coming into his own by this game and the Gamecocks will be hungry to make a statement and keep their hat in the ring for the BCS title game. USC wins a very tight, and good football game.

Week 11: November 12th vs. Florida - The SEC East title came down to this game in 2010 and I have a feeling the same thing will happen in 2011. Last year's game wasn't even close with USC blowing UF out in the swamp 36-14. This time, not only is the East on the line, but South Carolina could and should have national championship hopes on the line. This should be a defensive game, with both D-lines having the upper hand on the opposing O-line. The difference could be special teams where Florida might have an edge with it's skilled athletes. But South Carolina has the experience and they are at home. I think an inspired Carolina team plays up to par and wins this game.

Week 12: November 19th vs. The Citadel - If I have accurately predicted USC's season then they will be 9-1 heading into this game, have the SEC East championship in their back pocket, and they will be using this game as a spring board into the Clemson and SEC Championship Game. They will probably be in the Top 5 or 6 teams in the country and there will be plenty of excitement in Columbia.

Week 13: November 26th vs. Clemson - Clemson will be highly motivated to beat South Carolina and spoil what could be national championship hopes for the Gamecocks. But even this game sets up well for USC as they play at home. South Carolina is the better team here, and even though I've got Clemson down for one victory over an SEC team, I don't think they will be able to win this one. USC goes to 11-1, for an all-time year.


JB

Mississippi Rebels

4-8 (1-7)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. BYU - BYU has gone independent and they have a pretty good team to start out with. They have a young QB who is supposed to be the next great BYU quarterback and he has 10 starters back on offense including himself. BYU went 6-7 last year, but Ole Miss went 4-8. There will be a lot of pressure on Ole Miss to win this game considering last year's debacle on the first game of the year to Division 1-AA Jacksonville State. I'm not so sure Ole Miss can win this game even at home. All of BYU's attention this offseason will be paid two their first two games against Ole Miss and Texas...and I think they will have plenty of things up their sleeve and win the game.

Week 2: September 10th vs. Southern Illinois - Ole Miss did lose for a FCS opponent last year, but it won't happen again, they get on the board with a win in this one.

Week 3: Sept. 17th at Vanderbilt - The Rebs first road test is in Nashville, where they will try to avenge their 2-touchdown loss to the Commodores last year. Vandy has actually won 3 of the last 4 in this series and 4 of the last 6! There won't be a lot of high flying in this game, as both offenses strength is the running game, behind veteran offensive lines. I don't expect much this season out of either defense, especially Ole Miss'...this game will be determined by which team's D-line can reek havoc on the other's backfield. With Kendrell Lockett I give the advantage to Ole Miss as the rest of the D-line for both teams is near the bottom of the league. It should be a good game, and as much as I want Vandy to win, I'm picking Ole Miss.

Week 4: September 24th vs. Georgia - This is a big time game for both of these coaches. There is a chance Ole Miss is 3-0 and maybe even Georgia is 3-0 or 2-1 and the pressure is off both of them but I have a feeling they will both be uncomfortable as far as job security coming into the game. I think UGA will win the battle up front with their O-line being able to perform well against Ole Miss' D-line, and the Dawgs defensive line should be good enough to keep Ole Miss' and their O-line and backfield from running all over the place. Ole Miss QB situation will be interesting, UGA does have some talented DBs who could force some turnovers if the Rebs have to start throwing a lot. I think this will be a close game but Georgia pulls it out.

Week 5: October 1st at Fresno State - Looking at this game I would think Ole Miss would struggle having to fly all the way out to Fresno, California. I'm not so sure they will though. Fresno St. has 10 returning starters, 5 on offense and 5 on defense from a team that was very inconsistent last year and lost to Ole Miss in Oxford 55-38. I think Ole Miss gets a win here to go to 3-2.

Week 6: Bye - This is a great time for a bye for Ole Miss. The five previous games are all winnable for a team that is the consensus pick to finish last in the SEC West. If they could finish that stretch with a 5-0 or 4-1 record they could be on their way to restoring themselves from last year, but if they can't it will be a tough road to hoe in the 2nd half. But they do have this bye week to prepare for a home game with Alabama, a possible chance at a huge upset.

Week 7: October 15th vs. Alabama - Ole Miss has played Alabama tough in the past, and most of the time this game ends up being closer than people think. This game is in Oxford and Ole Miss has a week off before the game. If Bama was playing Florida instead of Vandy before this I might be inclined to pick Ole Miss despite how little I think of them. But Saban should have his guys ready for whatever Nutt throws their way, and they'll be able to handle the Rebs.

Week 8: October 22nd vs. Arkansas - The Rebels are coming off a game against Alabama and the Razorbacks are coming off a bye. Ole Miss will stick around for 3 quarters as they are at home, but they are not deep enough to beat Arkansas a week after playing Bama.

Week 9: October 29th at Auburn - This game could determine which team finished 5th in the West (stays out of the cellar) and which team goes to a bowl game. Auburn has been quietly dominating this series over the last 6-7 years. Unfortunately for Ole Miss, they are catching Auburn later in the season, when I think their young, talented players will have gained a lot of experience and played in a lot of big games. With this game in Auburn, I'm going to go with the Tigers.

Week 10: November 5th at Kentucky - Ole Miss' previous 3 games were against Alabama, Arkansas, and Auburn, and they will probably come away from those games with a number of injuries. If my predictions are correct, they will be teetering near the edge of a failed season and Houston Nutt will be feeling a lot of pressure for another poor year...making this game a must win. Kentucky does not have much offensive explosiveness coming back from 2010 but Joker Philips has proven to be a good offensive coach, and he will probably be able to find some plays against a poor Ole Miss D. I think Kentucky's defense will have enough strength to hold off Ole Miss and they will win the game at home.

Week 11: November 12th vs. Louisiana Tech - By this point in the year I have predicted Ole Miss to be 3-6, having lost four in a row. So they would have to run the table to make a bowl game and it starts with this game. Coming back home I think Ole Miss will be motivated by that and win this one easily.

Week 12: November 19th vs. LSU - Ole Miss takes this game very seriously and they have won 2 of the last 3 in the series. By this point of the season one or both of these coaches will probably be on the hot seat...most likely Houston Nutt. If Jordan Jefferson or whoever plays QB for LSU is not able to put it all together by late November this could present an opportunity for Ole Miss' poor defense. At home, in a rivalry setting, if the Rebs can be opportunistic in this game and can get their play makers in open space they've got a great shot. I don't think they will, however, and the Tigers will win the game.

Week 13: November 26th at Mississippi State - This is an underrated rivalry, but I can't say you can throw out the record books as the best team usually wins. I've got MSU ranked higher in 6 out of 7 units and this game is played in Starkville. If Ole Miss is playing for their 6th win and bowl-eligibility this could get a lot more interesting. But I'm going with the Dawgs to make Dan Mullen 3-0 in the Egg Bowl.


JB

Auburn Tigers

5-7 (2-6)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. Utah State - Utah St. is a WAC team and like most WAC teams they can score, and they have 9 returning starters coming back from last years 4-8 team. This game is sure to have a rowdy crowd being the first game of a new season after winning the national title, and Utah State won't stand much of a chance. Barrett Trotter will need to get his legs under him quick because the SEC schedule starts next week.

Week 2: September 10th vs. Mississippi State - Auburn's offensive line was gutted this offseason, and they are going to have to come together quick against Josh Boyd, Fletcher Cox and #5 D-line in the league. The Tiger's have great running backs as always but will they have enough room to run with that inexperienced line? State's linebackers are the main question, but with the above being said and Auburn QB Barrett Trotter getting his first taste of an SEC defense will Auburn be able to expose that possible weakness. I don't think Auburn matches up well at all when MSU has the ball either. State has a returning QB and WRs vs. Auburn's very inexperienced defense which I rate at near the bottom in every unit and #11 overall. This game is also going to be an 11:30 kick so the Auburn faithful will not have all day to get revved up. I'm going with Mississippi State to pull away with a sound victory.

Week 3: September 17th at Clemson - This game was a classic a year ago, going into overtime with Auburn winning 27-24 at home. Clemson loses their QB Kyle Parker, but Auburn losing their QB, and Heisman Trophy winner Cam Newton. Still, Clemson has 9 returning starters on offense and 5 on defense. They play Troy and Wofford in the first two games while Auburn is coming off their first SEC test the week before vs. Mississippi State. This game is at Clemson and I think Auburn goes down in another tightly contested game.

Week 4: September 24th vs. Florida Atlantic - Auburn should have some things to work on after a couple of tough games in September. It will be good for their inexperienced players to gain that experience early on and when they come into this game at home I think they will be ready to blow through the Owls.

Week 5: October 1st at South Carolina - The Gamecocks should be riding high and welcome the defending national champions into town. Auburn will struggle to cover Alshon Jeffrey and I'm not sure they have the front 7 to contend with Marcus Lattimore and put pressure on Stephen Garcia. I think South Carolina matches up really well against Auburn and they will win this game.

Week 6: October 8th at Arkansas - There's been some years where this game has been an upset, by a large margin, for both teams. If it happens this year it will be Auburn winning, especially with the game in Fayetteville. Arkansas has way too much offense for an Auburn D that will most likely struggle all year. The good news for Auburn in this game is that Arkansas will be coming off two big games and they could be banged up, the bad new is that this is their second consecutive road game, most likely both against Top 10 opponents...and they've got Florida next week. Arkansas finds comfort at home and wins by a couple scores.

Week 7: October 15th vs. Florida - This is in the middle of a brutal stretch for both teams. This is the only home game during a stretch which I think is the most brutal in the SEC for Auburn and Florida is coming off games vs. Alabama and at LSU. So both teams could have major injury and fatigue concerns heading into this game and into the 4th quarter. If Charlie Weis is able to mold Florida's offense into what it's capable of then I think Auburn's D will have a hard time catching up. Florida's D is young and athletic and could cause major problems for Auburn's inexperienced QB situation. I think this game will be close, and Auburn/Florida games are always great games which Auburn usually wins. But I'm calling for the Gators to go into Jordan-Hare and steal one.

Week 8: October 22nd at LSU - This is one of the best games in the SEC every year, and it usually has a lot to say about who wins the West. I'm not so sure it will this year since Auburn lost everyone, but you never know. I think LSU beats Auburn in every single category except running back. And if that's the case and this is the 4th straight game against some of the top competition in the country for Auburn, it's not good news for War Eagle. The game is in Death Valley...and while Auburn will have some fight, LSU wins the game.

Week 9: October 29th vs. Ole Miss - This game could determine which team finished 5th in the West (stays out of the cellar) and which team goes to a bowl game. Auburn has been quietly dominating this series over the last 6-7 years. Unfortunately for Ole Miss, they are catching Auburn later in the season, when I think their young, talented players will have gained a lot of experience and played in a lot of big games. With this game in Auburn, I'm going to go with the Tigers.

Week 10: Bye - Really Auburn needed this bye during that stretch of South Carolina, Arkansas, Florida, and LSU...but they'll have a chance to catch their breath here with three games to go. I'm only predicting a 3-6 mark before the bye, but that still leaves the window open for a chance at a bowl.

Week 11: November 12th at Georgia - It's hard to gauge where a team who has so much youth going into the season will be at this point of the season, and that is a factor for both of these teams. But as I see it right now, Georgia has Aaron Murrey and some play makers on offense that should be able to move the ball against a less than stellar Auburn defense. The game is in Athens, and I'm picking UGA.

Week 12: November 19th vs. Samford - This is an easy game and Auburn will blow them out in preparation for the Iron Bowl, which will be the end all be all for Auburn's season.

Week 13: November 26th vs. Alabama - This is the Iron Bowl and the one game in the entire country where you can truly throw the records out. In '09 Alabama was undefeated and looking for a SEC and national title, they had to come from behind to get it in Auburn. The Tigers were in the exact same situation last year and had to do the same thing, but on a larger scale. Bama has some really big expectations this year, and Auburn is rebuilding. Bama has more experience and virtually every position except quarterback and runningback where they are about the same...but like I said throw the records out. Auburn upsets Bama because I want them to.


JB

Arkansas Razorbacks

9-3 (5-3)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. Missouri State - This will be a nice game at home to start the year for Tyler Wilson to get things going. Arkansas easily wins.

Week 2: September 10th vs. New Mexico - New Mexico got obliterated each and every time they faced a decent opponent last year and then some when they faced a mediocre one. They've only won 1 game in each of the last two years so suffice it to say they are no good, and this may be just as easy of a game as the first one.

Week 3: September 17th vs. Troy - Arkansas needs to ramp it up before their game at Alabama, and a game against a respectable team like Troy should help prepare. Troy has won the Sun Belt the last few years and should put up enough of a fight to stay in the game through the first half. After that Arkansas rolls.

Week 4: September 24th at Alabama - This was without a doubt the best game of September until Davis got hurt. I was all set to pick Upig for the upset, but I just don't think I can do it now on the road against such a stout defense. Still, with the prior 3 games being gimme wins Arkansas has a chance if they can find a running back before the game. They do have talent, but Knile Davis was a freak. I'm picking the favorite here, Alabama, to win the game.

Week 5: October 1st vs. Texas A&M - This game will be at Cowboy's Stadium. Arkansas won this game 24-17 last year, after which A&M got blown out by Missouri but then rattled off 6 straight conference wins before getting stomped by LSU in the Cotton Bowl. So that's 0 for 2 in Dallas for A&M. If Arkansas really is coming off a win at Alabama like I predict they will be riding high and most likely will be in the Top 5, so this is an obvious let-down game. Especially since A&M has 18 returning starters including 10 on offense off a 9-4 team. The Hogs are going to have to come into this game ready to play, but so will the Aggies, they play a huge game with Oklahoma State the week before as well. Due to the circumstances with Arkansas' schedule I would be tempted to pick A&M, but since they have a difficult road themselves I stick with the better team, Arkansas goes to 5-0.

Week 6: October 8th vs. Auburn - There's been some years where this game has been an upset, by a large margin, for both teams. If it happens this year it will be Auburn winning, especially with the game in Fayetteville. Arkansas has way too much offense for an Auburn D that will most likely struggle all year. The good news for Auburn in this game is that Arkansas will be coming off two big games and they could be banged up, the bad new is that this is their second consecutive road game, most likely both against Top 10 opponents...and they've got Florida next week. Arkansas finds comfort at home and wins by a couple scores.

Week 7: Bye - Right in the middle of the season. If Arkansas really is 6-0, there will be plenty of excitement as they prepare for the second half of the season.

Week 8: October 22nd at Ole Miss - The Rebels are coming off a game against Alabama and the Razorbacks are coming off a bye. Ole Miss will stick around for 3 quarters as they are at home, but they are not deep enough to beat Arkansas a week after playing Bama.

Week 9: October 29th at Vanderbilt - With the game in Nashville you never know what could happen, especially with the 'look ahead' to South Carolina the next week, but Arkansas was really have to be napping. Arkansas' offense should be clicking on all cylinders by this point in the year and I don't think Vandy's D will be able to stop them. Hogs win.

Week 10: November 5th vs. South Carolina - South Carolina makes one of the longest journeys within the SEC to Fayetteville, AR for what should be a very good game. By this point in the season I expect Tyler Wilson to be a solid quarterback, and Stephen Garcia as well. Both star running backs are young and very talented. Even though Arkansas' got the edge at WR, I rank USC #2, and both teams have some question marks at O-line. I think Arkansas' got a pretty good defense and South Carolina will score on them but not a lot. The difference here is South Carolina's very talented defensive line vs. Arkansas' offensive line. Clowney should be coming into his own by this game and the Gamecocks will be hungry to make a statement and keep their hat in the ring for the BCS title game. USC wins a very tight, and good football game.

Week 11: November 12th vs. Tennessee - The Vols always have an easy path in November, but not this year with this game right in the middle of it. Tennessee is young, but by this point in the year they should have the experience needed to win a game like this. But Arkansas has too many weapons and I'm not so sure UT's O-line will be able to hold off the Hog's D-line from pressuring Bray. At home, Arkansas wins to get back on track.

Week 12: November 19th vs. Mississippi State - MSU has beaten Arkansas only once in the last 12 years. One of the reasons is because this game is sandwiched between State's two biggest rivals in Alabama and Ole Miss. When you compound that by having to go to Little Rock it is really tough on the Bulldogs. Bobby Petrino should have his offense in full swing by this point of the season and they will be really tough to beat unless MSU's secondary can come up with some timely interceptions. With the game in Arkansas, I'm going with the Hogs.

Week 13: November 25th at LSU - This game is always a wild one. I'm glad this game moved back to the Friday after Thanksgiving, it is so entertaining...although the Iron Bowl was a suitable replacement. LSU's secondary should be in tip top shape by the time this game is played, which makes it very interesting against Arkansas' receivers. Surprisingly, Arkansas has won 3 of the last 4 games in this rivalry. Who knows what will happen, plain and simple. This game might end up being the dream matchup I had in mind for the Arkansas/Bama matchup as far as WR vs. DBs, I say that because I think Petrino will have found a running game by this point and LSU's secondary is second only to Alabama. I'm picking LSU at home.


JB

LSU Tigers

9-3 (6-2)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. Oregon - I'm writing this on July 26th so I don't know for sure what these two teams will be ranked coming in, but I'm assuming they'll both be in the Top 5, which makes this a huge game - at a neutral site. Oregon has 11 returning starters, 6 on offense and 5 on defense, but they have their main play makers back from last year's team. You never know what will happen on the first game of the season, but what I do know is that neither team will be in mid-season form in a huge matchup. Oregon's offense relies on rhythm and tempo for their fast-paced style, how much will that be affected with no preseason games to prepare for live-action? Oregon has speed, LSU has more. In addition, LSU played North Carolina in the Georgia Dome last year for the Chick-Fil-A kickoff so this group has started the year in this type of game before. The more I think about it, the more I lean towards LSU, so I'm going with the Tigers.

Week 2: September 10th vs. Northwestern State - This is the game teams would typically schedule first, but Les Miles does everything backwards. If my prediction is correct on the Oregon game, I think LSU will be #1 or #2 entering this game, and they will have no problem here....big big win at home.

Week 3: September 15th at Mississippi State - Many people probably don't see this one as a tough game to call, but I do. MSU will be 5 days removed from what is usually a hard-hitting matchup with Auburn, while LSU has Northwestern State the week before. When I go down my unit rankings, I see a very even game with the receivers, O-line, D-line, and secondary all having negligible differences. Jordan Jefferson is an athletic senior QB who shouldn't be rattled by a hostile environment on Thursday night in Starkville. But Chris Relf is solid and I give the edge to State there as well as their proven backfield. I think LSU has more talent at linebacker and I look at State's offense as #4 in the league vs. LSU's #4 defense. But I've got LSU at #7 on offense vs. MSU's #5 D, and being at home, and because I want them to win the game really really bad, I'm picking State to eek out a win and end LSU's 11 game win streak in this series.

Week 4: September 24th at West Virginia - The Mountaineers have had some offseason coaching turmoil, but they should be able to put that behind them by late September. They have 12 returning starters including 8 on offense. LSU won this game 20-14 last year in Baton Rouge. This will most likely be LSU's third Top 25 opponent in 4 weeks since WVU has a light schedule before this game. The Tigers will have their hands full in foreign territory and may still be reeling from a loss in Starkville. I think West Virginia pulls a fast one and beats LSU...kicking them to the curb at 2-2.

Week 5: October 1st vs. Kentucky - If my predictions are correct and LSU will have lost two in a row coming into this game, that is the classic recipe for a beatdown here as LSU returns home. In the last meeting between these two teams, UK won in Lexington when LSU was #1...but the Tigers survived and eventually won the national title that year. It's very possible LSU could be #1 heading into this game again, but I don't think we'll get the same result in Red Stick. LSU wins big.

Week 6: October 8th vs. Florida - I think this is a very even matchup between two teams full of talent. For a few years this was the primo matchup of the year, but it faded a little bit two years ago because of LSU and last year because of Florida. On paper, I don't think there's enough discernable difference between these two teams to pick a winner. But the game's in Baton Rouge, probably at night, and Florida is in a stretch of 5 consecutive SEC games and coming off Alabama the week before. So I'm picking LSU.

Week 7: October 15th at Tennessee - Everybody remembers the finish to this game last year, and hopefully this game can be that good again. I was very surprised Tennessee was able to keep up with LSU in 2010, especially on the road. But with the game in Knoxville, I'm not so sure this won't be another close game. The last time these two teams met in Knoxville, 2006, it was a classic. In fact, the last 3 regular season meeting between these two have been classics...and the 2007 SEC Championship game was a good game. So why not expect anything different here? I give LSU the edge at the lines, but UT's got enough play makers to keep it close. Still, LSU wins the game.

Week 8: October 22nd vs. Auburn - This is one of the best games in the SEC every year, and it usually has a lot to say about who wins the West. I'm not so sure it will this year since Auburn lost everyone, but you never know. I think LSU beats Auburn in every single category except running back. The game is in Death Valley...and while Auburn will have some fight, LSU wins the game.

Week 9: Bye - This bye couldn't come at a better time with Alabama next. At this point in the year I'm predicting LSU to be 6-2, but have won 4 straight games. But they could easily be 7-1 or even 8-0, making this next game huge.

Week 10: November 5th at Alabama - This is my #1 game of the year. It's #1 because there's almost a 50/50 chance both these teams are undefeated heading into the game. And both these teams have a week off in Week 9 to prepare for this game. It's a great game every year and it will have major SEC West implications. In whatever shape LSU's defense is at the beginning of the year, it will probably be close to Alabama at the top of the league by this point of the season. This game will have virtually no passing except on third down and it will come down to who wants it more at the line of scrimmage. Experience, talent, these teams are about the same. The only real difference I can see is the game is in Tuscaloosa and I'm going to go with Alabama.

Week 11: November 12th vs. Western Kentucky - Whether they win or lose at Alabama, this will be a nice game to follow so they can heal up and prepare for Ole Miss...easy win.

Week 12: November 19th at Ole Miss - Ole Miss takes this game very seriously and they have won 2 of the last 3 in the series. By this point of the season one or both of these coaches will probably be on the hot seat...most likely Houston Nutt. If Jordan Jefferson or whoever plays QB for LSU is not able to put it all together by late November this could present an opportunity for Ole Miss' poor defense. At home, in a rivalry setting, if the Rebs can be opportunistic in this game and can get their play makers in open space they've got a great shot. I don't think they will, however, and the Tigers will win the game.

Week 13: November 25th vs. Arkansas - This game is always a wild one. I'm glad this game moved back to the Friday after Thanksgiving, it is so entertaining...although the Iron Bowl was a suitable replacement. LSU's secondary should be in tip top shape by the time this game is played, which makes it very interesting against Arkansas' receivers. Surprisingly, Arkansas has won 3 of the last 4 games in this rivalry. Who knows what will happen, plain and simple...but I'm going with LSU in Baton Rouge.


JB

Alabama Crimson Tide

10-2 (6-2)

Week 1: September 3rd vs. Kent State - What's surprising to me in this game is that Kent St. is actually a Division 1-A school. This should be a nice warm up for the Tide.

Week 2: September 10th at Penn State - Bama should be in the Top 2 going into this game and if they are reading their press clippings they could be in for a dog fight in this game. Penn State will probably be ranked and we'll see what they have in this game, but they are usually a well-coached team and they have some experience coming back. With this game in Happy Valley I expect it to be close for 3 quarters, but Bama will pull away in the end.

Week 3: September 17th vs. North Texas - Bama can use week 1 to get ready for PSU, and this week to get ready for Arkansas. Bama by 5 touchdowns.

Week 4: September 24th vs. Arkansas - This is what I would've said if Knile Davis hadn't of gone down: This is my #2 game of the year, and it might be #1 if it were played later in the year. This should be an epic battle between Arkansas' core of talented receivers and Alabama's core of talented defensive backs. But there are very good players all over the field with an evenly dispersed 27 preseason All-SEC players in this game! I give Arkansas's offense a slight edge over Bama, but Bama's D a slightly larger edge over the Hog's D. What will be the difference? Arkansas has a pretty good defense and if McCarron can't throw the ball the Hogs have enough talent to stop the Bama offense if it's one-dimensional. But if McCarron can throw the ball UPig might not be able to overcome much deficit with Bama's stout D. But no matter how stout the D, a playmaker can always break a run for a touchdown, and Arkansas has plenty of those. Behind a slightly more experienced Tyler Wilson, I'm picking Arkansas to go into Bryant-Denny Stadium and upset the Tide. BBBUUUUTTTTT, he got hurt and with this game in T-town, I'd be looney to stay with the upset pick so early in the year. Tide wins the game.

Week 5: October 1st at Florida - If Bama would not have played at Penn State I might think their QB situation would be shaking going into the swamp, but since they will have played in front of 100,000+ a month prior I don't think it will effect them as much. The bottom line in this game is can Florida's offense do anything against Bama's D? I think Florida could win this game if they get good defensive intensity and force some turnovers, but they will have to play a solid game on offense just to score enough to beat Bama. Going into the season I just don't know what Florida's offense will be capable of against a defense like this, even at home. I'm going with Alabama.

Week 6: October 8th vs. Vanderbilt - Coming off two tough games this should be a bit of a breather. Vandy should be improved but the Tide just have to much talent for this game to be close in the 2nd half. Bama big.

Week 7: October 15th at Ole Miss - Ole Miss has played Alabama tough in the past, and most of the time this game ends up being closer than people think. This game is in Oxford and Ole Miss has a week off before the game. If Bama was playing Florida instead of Vandy before this I might be inclined to pick Ole Miss despite how little I think of them. But Saban should have his guys ready for whatever Nutt throws their way, and they'll be able to handle the Rebs.

Week 8: October 22nd vs. Tennessee - This is one of those classic SEC rivalries. Two years ago Mount Cody had to block two field goal attempts to preserve Bama's perfect season and eventual national championship. UT comes into this game in the middle of one of the most difficult stretches of SEC games, so a game like this is not what the doctor ordered. You never know what could happen in a rivalry, but I don't see Tennessee being able to pass the ball much with their young receivers, and I think Bama will be able to move the ball pretty well against an average Tennessee D. Tide wins.

Week 9: Bye - This is the perfect time for a bye, 2/3s of the way through the year with a week to prepare for a huge game with LSU.

Week 10: November 5th vs. LSU - This is my #1 game of the year. It's #1 because there's almost a 50/50 chance both these teams are undefeated heading into the game. And both these teams have a week off in Week 9 to prepare for this game. It's a great game every year and it will have major SEC West implications. In whatever shape LSU's defense is at the beginning of the year, it will probably be close to Alabama at the top of the league by this point of the season. This game will have virtually no passing except on third down and it will come down to who wants it more at the line of scrimmage. Experience, talent, these teams are about the same. The only real difference I can see is the game is in Tuscaloosa and I'm going to go with Alabama.

Week 11: November 12th at Mississippi State - The Tide demolished MSU in Tuscaloosa last year, but how emotionally invested in that game were the Bulldogs after the tragic loss of Nick Bell? But they were undoubtably the better team then and now with better players at almost every position. If my predictions are correct, this could be the second consecutive game for Bama vs. a Top 10 team which will be brutal. I think State has a chance to win this game if they can elevate their play with the home crowd and intensity of the rivalry. This is the classic trap game, even though I'm picking State to come in with only one loss, but it will be tough getting hit so hard two weeks straight...State wins.

Week 12: November 19th vs. Georgia Southern - Bama wins by 5, maybe 6 scores.

Week 13: November 26th at Auburn - This is the Iron Bowl and the one game in the entire country where you can truly throw the records out. In '09 Alabama was undefeated and looking for a SEC and national title, they had to come from behind to get it in Auburn. The Tigers were in the exact same situation last year and had to do the same thing, but on a larger scale. Bama has some really big expectations this year, and Auburn is rebuilding. Bama has more experience and virtually every position except quarterback and runningback where they are about the same...but like I said throw the records out. Auburn upsets Bama because I want them to.


JB

Mississippi State Bulldogs

10-2 (6-2)


Week 1: September 1st at Memphis - Memphis went 1-11 last year, including losing to MSU 49-7, and only return 6 starters. The Tigers are probably going to be one of the worst teams in the country and there is a very strong chance this game will have more MSU fans there than Memphis even though it's at the Liberty Bowl. State should win this game going away just like last season.

Week 2: September 10th at Auburn - Auburn's offensive line was gutted this offseason, and they are going to have to come together quick against Josh Boyd, Fletcher Cox and #5 D-line in the league. The Tiger's have great running backs as always but will they have enough room to run with that inexperienced line? State's linebackers are the main question, but with the above being said and Auburn QB Barrett Trotter getting his first taste of an SEC defense will Auburn be able to expose that possible weakness. I don't think Auburn matches up well at all when MSU has the ball either. State has a returning QB and WRs vs. Auburn's very inexperienced defense which I rate at near the bottom in every unit and #11 overall. This game is also going to be an 11:30 kick so the Auburn faithful will not have all day to get revved up. I'm going with Mississippi State to pull away with a sound victory.

Week 3: September 15th vs. LSU - Many people probably don't see this one as a tough game to call, but I do. MSU will be 5 days removed from what is usually a hard-hitting matchup with Auburn, while LSU has Northwestern State the week before. When I go down my unit rankings, I see a very even game with the receivers, O-line, D-line, and secondary all having negligible differences. Jordan Jefferson is an athletic senior QB who shouldn't be rattled by a hostile environment on Thursday night in Starkville. But Chris Relf is solid and I give the edge to State there as well as their proven backfield. I think LSU has more talent at linebacker and I look at State's offense as #4 in the league vs. LSU's #4 defense. But I've got LSU at #7 on offense vs. MSU's #5 D, and being at home, and because I want them to win the game really really bad, I'm picking State to eek out a win and go to 3-0. Since I'm predicting LSU to beat Oregon in the opener, I think there's a 50/50 shot they'll be #1 coming into this game...which will make for a huge party in Starkville.

Week 4: September 24th vs. Louisiana Tech - In '08 La Tech spoiled MSU's season right from the start by upsetting them in Ruston. State has similar expectations this year but there are some differences here such as: this is the 4th game of the year, the game is in Starkville, and MSU has a different head coach. If State does as I predict and starts the year 3-0 they will probably be ranked in the Top 10 for this game, and this has A LOT of potential for a let-down game before the end of September. La Tech has 13 returning starters off a 5-7 team with a first year head coach, but they lose a QB, WR, and 3 offensive lineman going into the season. Hopefully State will come out with defensive intensity to shut their offense down, otherwise this could be another game like UAB last year, where State has to hold on tight and barely squeak by due to a letdown. But I am going to pick State to go to 4-0.

Week 5: October 1st at Georgia - This game looks to be very evenly matched. Even though I have MSU's QB unit listed 2nd, behind UGA, that has a lot to do with a competent backup...so I think Aaron Murrey's talent is a solid advantage for Georgia, especially at home. MSU has a more proven backfield, but if Crowell lives up to expectations there is not much of an advantage either way as I rate both team's O-line, D-line and linebackers very closely. It's hard to see any mismatches for either team here and that should make for a very good game. This game being in Athens is a big deal for Georgia, and their emotional state will play a big role. If they start 0-2, will they bounce back and make a run behind Richt, or fold? If they start 1-1 or 2-0 where will their heads be in this one, a week before playing Tennessee? With all else even, I'm going with the home team, UGA, to avenge their loss in Starkville last year.

Week 6: October 8th at UAB - This will be the 4th road game out of 6 games for State. Last year UAB hung with State until the bitter end in Starkville, but I attribute most of that poor play to a severe hangover from beating Florida in the swamp the week before and State's first national ranking in nearly a decade. UAB returns 7 starters from a very potent offense that scored on everyone in 2010. Their defense was awful on that team, but they return 9 starters and bring in ex-Memphis coach Tommy West as DC. I think their defense will improve this year and the offense should be good, which makes this a tough non-BCS road game for MSU. If the Blazers catch the Dawgs coming off a win in Athens this could be another chance to catch them napping, but I think State will be alert and end up winning the game as they should.

Week 7: October 15th vs. South Carolina - By the time South Carolina reached the mid-way point of the season, there is a very real chance they could be in the Top 5, maybe even the top 3 in the country. By my calculations, this will be their toughest test so far and it's on the road. Both of these teams have an off week the next week so there will be no holding back. Carolina has a bunch of star players like Lattimore, Jeffrey, Clowney, and Gilmore, who if all healthy should be able to beat teams like MSU on shear talent. But this is why they play the games, and with MSU's deep WR core I think they have the opportunity to expose a less than stellar USC secondary. If MSU's O-line can contain USC's powerful D-line I think Chris Relf will be able to move the ball through the air and keep up with the Gamecock's offense. This is South Carolina's 4th SEC game in a row, whereas State will have only played 1 SEC game in the previous 3 weeks. With the game in Starkville, I think State is able to pull off the upset behind the arm of Chris Relf or Tyler Russell.

Week 8: Bye - If indeed MSU is 6-1, having just beaten South Carolina they should be ranked in the Top 10, top 15 at worst. This bye comes at an opportune time as Mullen prepares for the final stretch of the season that includes 4 SEC games.

Week 9: October 29th at Kentucky - MSU has won the last two games in Lexington in this series. If Joker Philips is able to muster a respectable offense by this point in the season it could mean trouble for the Bulldogs. UK will also be coming off a bye week and Jacksonville State...so essentially 3 weeks to prepare for this game, however, MSU is coming off a bye as well. I don't see any reason why both of these teams would have any trouble getting up for this game, so I think going on talent is a safe bet. As they have done in the past against Kentucky, I expect MSU to run, run, run, and run some more until the Cats D is worn down. And the Dawgs will pick up a vital road win.

Week 10: November 5th vs. Tennessee-Martin - This game is homecoming and it's a perfect time for it as Alabama comes to Starkville the next week. If my predictions are correct, this game will make Mississippi State 8-1 and most likely a Top 10 ranked team going into the game vs. Bama.

Week 11: November 12th vs. Alabama - The Tide demolished MSU in Tuscaloosa last year, but how emotionally invested in that game were the Bulldogs after the tragic loss of Nick Bell? But they were undoubtably the better team then and now with better players at almost every position. If my predictions are correct, this could be the second consecutive game for Bama vs. a Top 10 team which will be brutal. I think State has a chance to win this game if they can elevate their play with the home crowd and intensity of the rivalry. Mullen will basically have two weeks to prepare, the game's in Starkville, I'm going with the Dawgs.

Week 12: November 19th at Arkansas - MSU has beaten Arkansas only once in the last 12 years. One of the reasons is because this game is sandwiched between State's two biggest rivals in Alabama and Ole Miss. When you compound that by having to go to Little Rock it is really tough on the Bulldogs. Bobby Petrino should have his offense in full swing by this point of the season and they will be really tough to beat unless MSU's secondary can come up with some timely interceptions. With the game in Arkansas, I'm going with the Hogs.

Week 13: November 26th vs. Ole Miss - This is an underrated rivalry, but I can't say you can throw out the record books as the best team usually wins. I've got MSU ranked higher in 6 out of 7 units and this game is played in Starkville. If Ole Miss is playing for their 6th win and bowl-eligibility this could get a lot more interesting. But I'm going with the Dawgs to make Dan Mullen 3-0 in the Egg Bowl.


You might be wondering, how did Mississippi State win the tiebraker I have picked? As you will see this week, I've picked LSU to lose to both MSU and Bama, so they eliminate themselves from the 3-way tie. And I'm picking MSU to beat Bama head-to-head so they take the West title. If that happens, and State wins, I will be very happy to say the least. I truly think it can happen. I think State will need to catch some breaks because of the great teams in the division, but I think they are talented enough to take advantage of a few breaks and get to Atlanta.



JB

2011 SEC Predictions

EAST

1. South Carolina, 7-1 - The Gamecocks are the easy pick for the East, so I wanted to go with Florida. But after digging into it I just think South Carolina is going to be too tough to beat.

2. Florida, 5-3 - I think the Gators will be back in the sense that they won't struggle on offense as much. I may be discounting them a little too much because of last year's poor performance...but they have plenty to prove especially with a new coach.

3. Georgia, 5-3 - A lot of people are calling for Mark Richt's job, a lot of people are calling for a big year for Georgia..I'm falling somewhere in between. I don't think Georgia has a good team, but they have a really easy schedule in terms of the SEC. That could be Richt's saving grace as he enters the year squarely on the hot seat.

4. Tennessee, 3-5 - The Vols are still rebuilding but that doesn't mean they won't be better than last year. Unfortunately, they have a grueling SEC schedule that will put them behind the 8 ball. If they can make some strides, it will go a long way to bridging a gap towards a successful 2012 year.

5. Vanderbilt, 1-7 - There's a lot of excitement about the future of Vanderbilt football right now. James Franklin is blazing a path on the recruiting trail and if that same energy is transferred to this year's team with 19 returning starters Vandy's got a chance to go to a bowl game.

6. Kentucky, 1-7 - Whether they want to admit it or not, UK is rebuilding this year. Their team has been built around offense the last several years and they lose all their playmakers from last year's team. The defense should keep them in games, and if the offense makes strides they could make it back to a bowl.



WEST

1. Mississippi State, 6-2 - Considering MSU is in the West, they have a favorable schedule with most of their toughest competition at home. 9 returning starters on offense will be the strength. New Co-DC and linebacking corps will be the question marks for the Bulldogs, but I think they will be a very solid team.

1. Alabama, 6-2 - Bama is everyone's pick this year and for good reason. They will have the most feared defense in all the SEC and the country. Their QB situation is up in the air, they lost their Heisman Trophy running back and the #6 overall draft pick in the NFL draft so there are some holes to fill on offense.

1. LSU, 6-2 - I generally consider LSU over-rated by most people this year. I think they are very very good and will be very tough to beat...however, I do not have them in the national championship hunt. We'll see what Jordan Jefferson can do without his best running back from last year and his go-to WR. The defense loses its best 3 players including the 5th overall pick in the NFL draft.

4. Arkansas, 5-3 - Arkansas has a lot of talent on offense and their defense is middle of the road - but should be adequate enough to supplement the offense. Tyler Wilson will need to step into Ryan Mallet's shoes, but I'm betting on Bobby Petrino's ability as a QB coach. Arkansas was my SEC and national title pick before Knile Davis went down.

5. Auburn, 2-6 - Auburn is just rebuilding....you can't lose the best player in the country on offense and defense, one of your top receivers and then 24 seniors and be able to recover in the toughest division in the country. If Auburn pulls out 7 or 8 wins like a lot of people are predicting...I will be shocked and Gene Chizik deserves to be coach of the year again.

6. Ole Miss, 1-7 - Ole Miss doesn't have much going for it right now. They plan to hang their hat on the offensive line, but the QB and receivers better be good because their defense does not look good on paper.


SEC Championship Game: South Carolina over Mississippi State


BCS Title Game: South Carolina

Sugar Bowl: Alabama

Capitol One Bowl: Mississippi State

Cotton Bowl: Arkansas

Outback Bowl: LSU

Chick-Fil-A Bowl: Georgia

Gator Bowl: Florida

Music City Bowl: Tennessee


JB

O.A.R.

My Top 10 O.A.R. songs:

10. "Conquering Fools" (Live), 2002











9. "Hey Girl", 2003











8. "Here's to You", 2001

7. "Wonderful Day", 2005

6. "So Moved On" (Live), 2004

5. "Black Rock", 1997

4. "Destination" (Live), 2002

3. "About An Hour Ago", 1997

2. "Heard the World", 2005

1. "52-50", 2005


JB

10 Most Hated Nouns in the SEC

Dishonorable mention: Lane Kiffin - Maybe so a couple years ago but that is passing now. He was only at Tennessee for one year, not long enough to leave any scars.

10. Cowbells - Cowbells are now 'legal', as long as they are rung at appropriate times during football games at Davis Wade Stadium. As long as State was a doormat, these were fine...but when State is winning as they are now they are a hated nuisance to the rest of the league.

9. Mike Slive - Some people enjoy Mike Slive, I don't. He is one of the most powerful men in college sports, but I think he is a weasel.

8. Harvey Updike, Jr. - This is more from the state of Alabama, but that is the heart of the SEC. And really, nobody likes this guy except for the Bama fan's at Sam's Biker Grill in Reform, AL.

7. Houston Nutt - He cheats, oversigns, wines, cheats, is annoying, cheats, etc.

6. Bobby Lowder - He's losing power at Auburn but he is the name associated with the board of trustees at Auburn who everyone is suspicious of.

5. Steve Spurrier - Folks love to hate Spurrier. It was really bad when he was at Florida, but he hasn't been winning in about 10 years so he's toned it down. He's starting to make a little more noise now that South Carolina is good.

4. Charles Robinson (Yahoo Sports Writer) - He breaks all kinds of stories about cheating in college football. He seems to have a special knack for it against the SEC.

3. Paul Finebaum - His weekday radio show attracts plenty of winners to call in. He stirs the pot more than anyone in the SEC.

2. LSU Fans - The Cajuns in and around Death Valley are nuts. They swarm the opposing teams bus and try to tip it over, throw beer, spit or gumbo, they drink all day and are some of the craziest people in America.

1. Alabama - We know Auburn really hates them. Mississippi State hates them, Tennessee hates them, LSU has developed an even fiercer rivalry with them in recent years. Florida meets them in the SEC Championship about half the time. Even Spurrier has gone to Mike Slive and complained publicly about the attention they get from ESPN. They've got a lot of rivals throughout the SEC, but the big dog always does.


JB